Raw LLM Responses
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G
Maybe a system where in grades one and two, as they're learning to read, the AI …
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G
There are three very different angle to this. There's the financial side. There'…
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G
E incrível porém o sere humanos estão dando vida para as máquinas humanoides até…
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G
What’s important to note is how far we are for what people generally think of le…
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G
if a model is showing things that would indicate legitimate desire for agency. w…
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G
You could go hide in the woods for survival. But you would be wasting your time …
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@ Yes I talked about the work put into it because comparatively to AI art, the p…
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Listen to her! She's a voice of truth. The truth is autonomous generative AI imp…
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Comment
Other platforms like Manifold Markets have speculative questions about AGI timelines, but as of 2025, no high-volume, real-money markets (e.g., Polymarket or Kalshi) show clear probabilities for AGI by 2027-2028. Manifold’s community-driven odds for “AGI by 2028” hover around 20-30%, but these are low-stakes and less reliable than Metaculus.
Skeptical voices, like those in a 2025 AAAI report, suggest 76% of AI researchers doubt current approaches will yield AGI within a few years, pointing to limitations in reasoning, context understanding, and data. This tempers the 2-3 year optimism, suggesting longer timelines (2030+) are more likely.
-Grok
youtube
AI Governance
2025-09-04T16:4…
Coding Result
| Dimension | Value |
|---|---|
| Responsibility | unclear |
| Reasoning | unclear |
| Policy | unclear |
| Emotion | indifference |
| Coded at | 2026-04-26T23:09:12.988011 |
Raw LLM Response
[
{"id":"ytc_UgxidNuvGiYMFPJUGAh4AaABAg","responsibility":"none","reasoning":"mixed","policy":"none","emotion":"approval"},
{"id":"ytc_UgwRYGSYytgfHaV9XP54AaABAg","responsibility":"ai_itself","reasoning":"consequentialist","policy":"unclear","emotion":"fear"},
{"id":"ytc_Ugwsi0Q7BxW0KNjGWpZ4AaABAg","responsibility":"developer","reasoning":"deontological","policy":"none","emotion":"outrage"},
{"id":"ytc_Ugx7LBtFEwwmLIGP_Vd4AaABAg","responsibility":"distributed","reasoning":"consequentialist","policy":"liability","emotion":"fear"},
{"id":"ytc_Ugw3bZaOdLX7hVjInRR4AaABAg","responsibility":"unclear","reasoning":"unclear","policy":"unclear","emotion":"indifference"},
{"id":"ytc_Ugx0Pmi1IEdemVI3HMl4AaABAg","responsibility":"government","reasoning":"mixed","policy":"none","emotion":"resignation"},
{"id":"ytc_UgwDEUSNpR64tWP95qF4AaABAg","responsibility":"developer","reasoning":"unclear","policy":"unclear","emotion":"fear"},
{"id":"ytc_Ugz6Q7JSlghXDRbyVvR4AaABAg","responsibility":"none","reasoning":"mixed","policy":"none","emotion":"approval"},
{"id":"ytc_UgxmeCR2uLr3x3TpCeJ4AaABAg","responsibility":"developer","reasoning":"deontological","policy":"none","emotion":"indifference"},
{"id":"ytc_Ugxn0tSTlLBuUkuTcnZ4AaABAg","responsibility":"distributed","reasoning":"consequentialist","policy":"regulate","emotion":"fear"}
]