Raw LLM Responses

I'm not an expert on the subject but here's my two cents. Don't underestimate the power of exponential growth. Let's say we're currently only 0.0000003% of the way to general artificial intelligence, and we've been working on AI for 60 years. You may think it would take two million more years to get there, but that's assuming that the progress is linear, i.e., we make the same amount of progress every year. In reality, progress is exponential. Let's say it doubles every couple years. In that case, it would only take ***30 years*** to get to 100%. This sounds crazy ridiculous, but that's roughly what the trends seem to predict. Another example of exponential growth is the time between paradigm shifts (e.g. the invention of agriculture, language, computers, the internet, etc.) is [decreasing exponentially](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/45/ParadigmShiftsFrr15Events.svg). So, even if we're 100 paradigm shifts away from general artificial intelligence, it's not crazy to expect it within the next century, and superintelligence soon after.